Elections in a Multi-Party Political System

Cost-of-Ruling in a Local Multiparty system The effects of party prominence and political company in Swedish local elections

Political Recruitment via Television Ads in a Two-Party System

The dynamics of recruitment within a two political party system that influence individuals through party member contact and television advertising are explored via a mathematical contagion model that includes a population of committed party members and a population of “undecided” or “susceptible” individuals. The contagion model supports multiple outcomes including two-party coexistence. In ord...

Weather conditions and political party vote share in Dutch national parliament elections, 1971–2010

Inclement weather on election day is widely seen to benefit certain political parties at the expense of others. Empirical evidence for this weather-vote share hypothesis is sparse however. We examine the effects of rainfall and temperature on share of the votes of eight political parties that participated in 13 national parliament elections, held in the Netherlands from 1971 to 2010. This paper...

Political Competition in Legislative Elections∗

We develop a theory of candidate nomination processes predicated upon the notion that members of the majority party in a legislature collaboratively influence policy. Because of this team aspect, a candidate’s party label matters for voters, in addition to his own policy positions: For example, in a liberal district, electing even a liberal Republican may be unattractive for voters because it i...

Modeling Party Competition in General Elections

Popular elections are the central political act of democracies, and citizens in all advanced democracies organize their political competition through parties that compete in general elections. While political historians have studied parties for many years, it is remarkable that only in the last decade or so have there been serious attempts at abstract conceptualizations—that is, formal models—o...